Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 17Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Lankow, Schwerin
The Footlab model makes Mecklenburg Schwerin the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
Sparta Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makkabi(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mecklenburg Schwerin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-1 Mecklenburg Schwerin | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Mecklenburg Schwerin on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg Schwerin | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Mecklenburg Schwerin the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Mecklenburg Schwerin vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on February 14, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Lankow, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.