Medeama vs Hearts of Oak: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)TNA Park, Tarkwa
The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Hearts of Oak. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Medeama vs Hearts of Oak?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Medeama (1,661) and Hearts of Oak (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Medeama have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hearts of Oak have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Medeama win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hearts of Oak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 4-2 Medeama | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Medeama 1-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 1-0 Medeama | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Medeama 0-2 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Medeama 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Hearts of Oak 3-1 Medeama | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Medeama on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Medeama sit 1st in Premier League (62 points from 34 matches) and Hearts of Oak sit 3rd (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Medeama vs Hearts of Oak?
- The Footlab model makes Medeama the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Hearts of Oak.
- Where and when is Medeama vs Hearts of Oak played?
- Medeama vs Hearts of Oak is played on January 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at TNA Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.