Samartex vs Heart of Lions: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nsenkyire Sports Arena, Samreboi
The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Heart of Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samartex vs Heart of Lions?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Samartex (1,581) and Heart of Lions (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samartex have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Heart of Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Samartex win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Heart of Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions 3-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Samartex 1-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| May 4, 2025 | Heart of Lions 2-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Samartex 0-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| May 26, 2024 | Heart of Lions 2-0 Samartex | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Samartex 2-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Heart of Lions vs Samartex on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samartex sit 5th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Heart of Lions sit 14th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samartex vs Heart of Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Heart of Lions.
- Where and when is Samartex vs Heart of Lions played?
- Samartex vs Heart of Lions is played on January 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nsenkyire Sports Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.