Melbourne Victory vs Daegu FC: result 1-3 and analysis
AFC Champions League EliteGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on March 5, 2019 at 08:30 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Melbourne Victory vs Daegu FC?
Daegu FC won 1-3 on March 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 29′O. ToivonenMelbourne Victory
- 31′CesinhaDaegu FC
- 51′Hwang Soon-MinDaegu FC
- 61′EdgarDaegu FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne Victory have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Daegu FC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Newcastle Jets(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Melbourne City(home) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Feb 15, 2019 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Perth Glory(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Central Coast Mariners(away) | 3-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Gangwon FC(away) | 1-0 | K League 1 |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 1 |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 1 |
| Nov 4, 2018 | FC Seoul(home) | 1-1 | K League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne Victory score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Daegu FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Daegu FC | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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