Melfi vs Martina Franca: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab AI model makes Martina Franca the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Melfi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Martina Franca wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs Martina Franca?
Martina Franca starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,596).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melfi vs Martina Franca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Martina Franca
Not enough data to predict the Martina Franca lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Martina Franca have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 24, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Martina Franca score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Martina Franca | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melfi sit 17th in Serie D - Girone H (8 points from 10 matches) and Martina Franca sit 2nd (22 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martina Franca | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 22 |
| 17 | Melfi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Melfi vs Martina Franca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Martina Franca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Martina Franca the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Melfi vs Martina Franca played?
- Melfi vs Martina Franca is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.