Gladiator vs Melfi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Piccirillo, Santa Maria Capua Vetere
The Footlab model makes Gladiator the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Melfi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gladiator vs Melfi?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Gladiator (1,619) and Melfi (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gladiator have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Melfi have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Anzio(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 5, 2024 | Trastevere(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Albalonga(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Atletico Uri(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Ischia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2017 | Matera(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Foggia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Taranto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Messina(away) | 4-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Monopoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gladiator score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Melfi score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladiator | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Melfi | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gladiator vs Melfi?
- The Footlab model makes Gladiator the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Gladiator vs Melfi played?
- Gladiator vs Melfi is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Piccirillo, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.