Memmingen vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Memminger Arena, Memmingen
The Footlab model makes Memmingen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Memmingen vs Bayreuth?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Memmingen (1,842) and Bayreuth (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Memmingen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Memmingen win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bayreuth 1-3 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bayreuth 3-1 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Memmingen 1-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Memmingen 1-2 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Bayreuth 2-1 Memmingen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 18, 2022 | Memmingen 0-3 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Memmingen score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memmingen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Memmingen sit 4th in Regionalliga - Bayern (9 points from 4 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Memmingen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Memmingen vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes Memmingen the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is Memmingen vs Bayreuth played?
- Memmingen vs Bayreuth is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Memminger Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsBayern München II
- Dec 5, 2026EichstättvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Dec 5, 2026Augsburg IIvsTSV 1860 München
- Dec 5, 2026BuchbachvsNürnberg II
- Dec 5, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsVilzing
- Dec 5, 2026IllertissenvsLandsberg
- Dec 5, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsAubstadt
- Dec 5, 2026EltersdorfvsSpVgg Unterhaching