Buchbach vs Nürnberg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SMR-Arena, Buchbach
The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buchbach vs Nürnberg II?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Buchbach (1,870) and Nürnberg II (1,954).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buchbach have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nürnberg II have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aubstadt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buchbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nürnberg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nürnberg II 0-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 2, 2026 | Nürnberg II 8-1 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Buchbach 1-2 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Nürnberg II 1-2 Buchbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Buchbach 0-0 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Buchbach 1-3 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Nürnberg II vs Buchbach on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buchbach score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buchbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Nürnberg II sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buchbach | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buchbach vs Nürnberg II?
- The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Buchbach.
- Where and when is Buchbach vs Nürnberg II played?
- Buchbach vs Nürnberg II is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SMR-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsBayern München II
- Dec 5, 2026EichstättvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Dec 5, 2026Augsburg IIvsTSV 1860 München
- Dec 5, 2026Greuther Fürth IIvsVilzing
- Dec 5, 2026IllertissenvsLandsberg
- Dec 5, 2026MemmingenvsBayreuth
- Dec 5, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsAubstadt
- Dec 5, 2026EltersdorfvsSpVgg Unterhaching