Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Menemen Şehir Stadı, Menemen
The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Menemen FK (1,688) and Erbaaspor (1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Menemen FK have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Somaspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Menemen FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Erbaaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Erbaaspor 0-1 Menemen FK | 2. Lig |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Menemen FK 2-0 Erbaaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK on Mar 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menemen FK | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Erbaaspor | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Menemen FK sit 8th in 2. Lig (51 points from 34 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Menemen FK | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 57 | 51 | 51 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 61 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Erbaaspor.
- Where and when is Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor played?
- Menemen FK vs Erbaaspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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