Match

Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma

SomasporŞanlıurfaspor

The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,548).

Somaspor win25 %
Draw24 %
Şanlıurfaspor win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Şanlıurfaspor have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Somaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Bursaspor(away)1-52. Lig
Apr 12, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Menemen FK(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Kırklarelispor(home)2-02. Lig
Şanlıurfaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muğlaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ankaraspor(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Kastamonuspor(home)5-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Somaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Şanlıurfaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2023Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 Somaspor2. Lig
Nov 20, 2022Somaspor 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Şanlıurfaspor vs Somaspor on Apr 23, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Somaspor1.31.658/1510/15
Şanlıurfaspor1.51.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Somaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (30 points from 34 matches) and Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th (65 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Şanlıurfaspor361989634365
15Somaspor348620416830

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Somaspor.
Where and when is Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor played?
Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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