Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, Soma
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Somaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Somaspor have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Şanlıurfaspor have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 1-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Menemen FK(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Somaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Şanlıurfaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Şanlıurfaspor 0-0 Somaspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Somaspor 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Şanlıurfaspor vs Somaspor on Apr 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Somaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somaspor | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Somaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (30 points from 34 matches) and Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th (65 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
| 15 | Somaspor | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Somaspor.
- Where and when is Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor played?
- Somaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soma Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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