Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Menemen Şehir Stadı, Menemen
The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Menemen FK (1,678) and Kastamonuspor (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Menemen FK have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Somaspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Menemen FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kastamonuspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Kastamonuspor 1-0 Menemen FK | 2. Lig |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Menemen FK 1-1 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 26, 2012 | Menemen FK 1-0 Kastamonuspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Kastamonuspor 1-0 Menemen FK | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Menemen FK on Feb 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menemen FK | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Menemen FK sit 8th in 2. Lig (51 points from 34 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Menemen FK | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 57 | 51 | 51 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor?
- The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor played?
- Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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