Match

Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Menemen Şehir Stadı, Menemen

Menemen FKKastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Menemen FK (1,678) and Kastamonuspor (1,653).

Menemen FK win51 %
Draw24 %
Kastamonuspor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Menemen FK have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Menemen FK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)5-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-52. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Somaspor(home)2-12. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)0-22. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-32. Lig
Kastamonuspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Şanlıurfaspor(away)2-52. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Karaman FK(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)0-42. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)1-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Menemen FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kastamonuspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 25, 2024Kastamonuspor 1-0 Menemen FK2. Lig
Oct 14, 2023Menemen FK 1-1 Kastamonuspor2. Lig
Feb 26, 2012Menemen FK 1-0 Kastamonuspor3. Lig - Group 1
Oct 2, 2011Kastamonuspor 1-0 Menemen FK3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Menemen FK on Feb 25, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Menemen FK1.22.138/1511/15
Kastamonuspor0.71.827/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Menemen FK sit 8th in 2. Lig (51 points from 34 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Menemen FK3415613575151
12Kastamonuspor3611916445642

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor?
The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor played?
Menemen FK vs Kastamonuspor is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Menemen Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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