Match

Sebat Gençlikspor vs Hatayspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon

Sebat GençliksporHatayspor

The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sebat Gençlikspor vs Hatayspor?

Sebat Gençlikspor starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,578).

Sebat Gençlikspor win60 %
Draw22 %
Hatayspor win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sebat Gençlikspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hatayspor have 2, 1 and 12.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sebat Gençlikspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)2-33. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Orduspor 1967(away)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 20261926 Bulancak(home)3-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 28, 2026Çayelispor(away)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Mar 24, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Hatayspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Vanspor FK(home)3-11. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Serik Spor(away)2-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Sakaryaspor(home)1-11. Lig
Apr 11, 2026Sarıyer(away)0-41. Lig
Apr 7, 2026Adana Demirspor(home)4-01. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sebat Gençlikspor1.50.776/156/15
Hatayspor1.02.818/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sebat Gençlikspor vs Hatayspor?
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Hatayspor.
Where and when is Sebat Gençlikspor vs Hatayspor played?
Sebat Gençlikspor vs Hatayspor is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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