Match

Mercadal vs Cardassar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Martì, Menorca

MercadalCardassar

The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cardassar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mercadal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mercadal vs Cardassar?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Mercadal (1,737) and Cardassar (1,762).

42%27%31%
Mercadal winDrawCardassar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mercadal vs Cardassar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mercadal

Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.

Cardassar

4-3-3
  1. IIsaac Calvo Heredia
  2. JJulia Llull Sanso
  3. MMiguel Alesandro Álvarez Zambrano
  1. JJavi Lopez
  2. JJaume Alzamora Puigrós
  3. GGuillermo Luis Martí Ribeiro
  1. SSergi Febrer Soler
  2. SStefi Bona
  3. SSebastià Coll Femenias
  4. JJoan Jordi Tauler Pascual
  1. ÁÁngel Pedro Sánchez Marín

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercadal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Cardassar have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mercadal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Alcúdia(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Oct 3, 2026Constància(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 26, 2026Santanyí(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 19, 2026Arenal(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 12, 2026Inter Ibiza(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Migjorn(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Oct 4, 2026Alcúdia(home)6-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 26, 2026Platges Calvià(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 20, 2026Constància(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
Sep 12, 2026Binissalem(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mercadal win, 0 draws, 1 Cardassar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2026Mercadal 2-1 CardassarTercera División RFEF - Group 11
Nov 16, 2025Cardassar 2-1 MercadalTercera División RFEF - Group 11

Last archived meeting: Mercadal vs Cardassar on Mar 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardassar score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mercadal0.92.228/158/15
Cardassar1.71.4310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mercadal sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 6 matches) and Cardassar sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cardassar641113613
13Mercadal6123685

A question about Mercadal vs Cardassar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mercadal vs Cardassar?
The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cardassar.
Where and when is Mercadal vs Cardassar played?
Mercadal vs Cardassar is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Martì, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mercadal and Cardassar

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