Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Son Verí, S'Arenal de Llucmajor
The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Arenal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas starts as the favourite with a 264-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arenal
4-3-3- DDavid García Movilla
- CChino
- TToni Arrom
- JJuan José
- MMarc Bonet
- JJuan Carlos Gómez Sintes
- DDavid GarcÃa
- DDani Amengual
- SSantiago Soler Quert
- JJuanca
- LLluc Ramis
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Not enough data to predict the Ibiza Islas Pitiusas lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenal have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Formentera(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arenal wins, 0 draws, 2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 4-0 Arenal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Arenal 0-2 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Arenal on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Arenal score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza Islas Pitiusas score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenal | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenal sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (4 points from 7 matches) and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas sit 4th (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
| 16 | Arenal | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Arenal.
- Where and when is Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas played?
- Arenal vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Son Verí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.