Merelbeke vs Thes Sport: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 23Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Molenkouter, Merelbeke
The Footlab AI model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Merelbeke. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thes Sport wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merelbeke vs Thes Sport?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Merelbeke (1,906) and Thes Sport (1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merelbeke vs Thes Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merelbeke
Not enough data to predict the Merelbeke lineup.
Thes Sport
Not enough data to predict the Thes Sport lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merelbeke have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Thes Sport have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(home) | 0-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Houtvenne(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mandel United(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Harelbeke(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Merelbeke wins, 0 draws, 2 Thes Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Merelbeke 2-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Thes Sport 1-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Merelbeke 3-0 Thes Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Thes Sport 5-0 Merelbeke | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Merelbeke vs Thes Sport on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merelbeke score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Thes Sport score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelbeke | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Thes Sport | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merelbeke sit 14th in First Amateur Division (11 points from 12 matches) and Thes Sport sit 5th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thes Sport | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 22 |
| 14 | Merelbeke | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Merelbeke vs Thes Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merelbeke vs Thes Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thes Sport the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Merelbeke.
- Where and when is Merelbeke vs Thes Sport played?
- Merelbeke vs Thes Sport is played on February 28, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Molenkouter, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.