Houtvenne vs Tienen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Oosterzonen, Westerlo
The Footlab model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Tienen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Houtvenne vs Tienen?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Houtvenne (1,817) and Tienen (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Houtvenne have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tienen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(away) | 3-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merelbeke(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ninove(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hoogstraten(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Knokke(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dessel Sport(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Diegem Sport(home) | 5-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Houtvenne win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tienen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Houtvenne 3-1 Tienen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tienen 0-2 Houtvenne | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Houtvenne 0-1 Tienen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Tienen 1-0 Houtvenne | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
How many goals should we expect?
Houtvenne score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tienen score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houtvenne | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tienen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Houtvenne sit 12th in First Amateur Division (13 points from 12 matches) and Tienen sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Houtvenne | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Tienen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Houtvenne vs Tienen?
- The Footlab model makes Houtvenne the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Tienen.
- Where and when is Houtvenne vs Tienen played?
- Houtvenne vs Tienen is played on February 27, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Oosterzonen, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.