Merelinense vs U. Madeira: result 0-3 and analysis
Taça de Portugal2nd RoundKick-off on September 30, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio João Soares Vieira, São Pedro de Merelim
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What was the result of Merelinense vs U. Madeira?
U. Madeira won 0-3 on September 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Merelinense have 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; U. Madeira have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Vieira(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Nacional(away) | 2-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Real(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Cerveira(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Leixoes(home) | 4-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Lusitânia(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| May 12, 2018 | Cova De Piedade(away) | 2-3 | Segunda Liga |
| May 6, 2018 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Famalicao(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 21, 2018 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merelinense score 2.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 7; U. Madeira score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merelinense | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
| U. Madeira | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy