Merthyr Town vs Dorchester Town: result 3-1 and analysis
FA Trophy3rd Round QualifyingKick-off on October 7, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Dorchester Town?
Merthyr Town won 3-1 on October 7, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Dorchester Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2023 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Sheppey United(home) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Didcot Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2023 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Didcot Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Hungerford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Swindon Supermarine(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Merthyr Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dorchester Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Merthyr Town 3-2 Dorchester Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Dorchester Town 0-2 Merthyr Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Merthyr Town 1-3 Dorchester Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Dorchester Town 1-3 Merthyr Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Merthyr Town 1-1 Dorchester Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Dorchester Town 0-0 Merthyr Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs Dorchester Town on Aug 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dorchester Town score 1.5 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Dorchester Town | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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