Merthyr Town vs Hartley Wintney: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd Round QualifyingKick-off on September 26, 2015 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Hartley Wintney?
Hartley Wintney won 0-1 on September 26, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hartley Wintney have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2015 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2014 | Didcot Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Didcot Town(home) | 3-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 18, 2014 | Slough Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2015 | Fleet Town(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Fleet Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Banbury United(home) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Chinnor(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 9, 2014 | Ardley United(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hartley Wintney score 2.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Hartley Wintney | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Sep 26, 2015Oxford City3-1Shortwood United
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- Sep 26, 2015Dartford0-1Uxbridge
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