Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town: result 2-0 and analysis
National League - NorthNational League North - 1Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town?
Merthyr Town won 2-0 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′J. MaddoxMerthyr Town
- 45′J. MaddoxMerthyr Town
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Hednesford Town win at 40%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hednesford Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hednesford Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Hednesford Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 19th in National League - North (16 points from 15 matches) and Hednesford Town sit 7th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hednesford Town | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
| 19 | Merthyr Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 16 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Hednesford Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy