Merthyr Town vs Swindon Supermarine: result 3-1 and analysis
Non League Premier - Southern SouthSouthern South - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2019 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Swindon Supermarine?
Merthyr Town won 3-1 on August 26, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Swindon Supermarine have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2019 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Harrow Borough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Lewes(away) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2019 | Salisbury(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Truro City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2019 | Hartley Wintney(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Walton Casuals(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 30, 2018 | Banbury United(away) | 0-3 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Supermarine score 1.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Swindon Supermarine | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 26, 2019Truro City0-2Weston-super-Mare
- Aug 26, 2019Taunton Town3-1Tiverton Town
- Aug 26, 2019Beaconsfield Town1-2Metropolitan Police
- Aug 26, 2019Blackfield & Langley2-1Dorchester Town
- Aug 26, 2019Hartley Wintney0-0Gosport Borough
- Aug 26, 2019Hayes & Yeading United2-0Farnborough
- Aug 26, 2019Hendon3-1Chesham United
- Aug 26, 2019Poole Town3-1Wimborne Town