Merw vs Ahal: result 0-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 2Kick-off on March 7, 2024 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Ahal won 0-1 on March 7, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Ahal have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | Nebitci(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Ahal(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Abdish-Ata(away) | 3-8 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Ahal(away) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | Energetik(home) | 5-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Rīgas FS(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Şagadam(away) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Merw wins, 0 draws, 4 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Ahal 4-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Merw 2-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Merw 3-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Merw 1-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 0.7 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ahal | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 6th in Ýokary Liga (18 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Merw vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy