Merw vs Ahal: result 0-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 30, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Ahal won 0-1 on October 30, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ahal have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2024 | Nebitci(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Arkadag(home) | 1-8 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Şagadam(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Aşgabat(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2024 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Arkadag(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 7, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Aşgabat(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Nebitci(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Merw win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2024 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 1, 2024 | Ahal 5-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Ahal 4-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Merw 2-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ahal | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 8th in Ýokary Liga (11 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy