Merw vs Ahal: result 0-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on November 10, 2020 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Ahal won 0-1 on November 10, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 79′?Ahal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ahal have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2020 | Energetik(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Nebitci(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Şagadam(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2020 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Nebitci(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Energetik(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Merw win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2020 | Merw 3-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 16, 2020 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ahal | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 8th in Ýokary Liga (11 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy