Merw vs Ahal: result 1-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on November 19, 2021 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Merw and Ahal drew 1-1 on November 19, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ahal have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2021 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Nebitci(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Energetik(away) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2021 | Aşgabat(home) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Şagadam(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 1, 2021 | Energetik(home) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 29, 2021 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Nebitci(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Merw win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2020 | Ahal 3-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Merw 0-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| May 23, 2020 | Merw 3-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 16, 2020 | Ahal 3-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Ahal | 2.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 8th in Ýokary Liga (11 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy