Merw vs Ahal: result 3-2 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on December 17, 2022 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Ahal?
Merw won 3-2 on December 17, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ahal have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Nebitci(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Aşgabat(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Energetik(home) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Şagadam(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Energetik(away) | 5-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Nebitci(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Merw wins, 1 draw, 5 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ahal 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Merw 1-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Ahal 3-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Ahal 1-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Merw 1-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Ahal 3-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 3.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 3.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merw sit 6th in Ýokary Liga (18 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
A question about Merw vs Ahal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy