Merw vs Alay: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League Two2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on August 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Mary Stadiony, Mary
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What was the result of Merw vs Alay?
Merw won 1-0 on August 15, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′M. NurnazarovMerw
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merw have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Alay have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2023 | Aşgabat(away) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 27, 2023 | Nebitci(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 24, 2023 | Energetik(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 17, 2023 | Şagadam(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2023 | Talant(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 5, 2023 | OshMU Aldier(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Alga(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2023 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Neftchi(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Merw score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alay score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merw | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Alay | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy