Messina vs Casertana: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2016 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
Full time
What was the result of Messina vs Casertana?
Messina won 2-1 on October 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 16′209527Messina
- 20′Angelo ReaMessina
- 45′G. CoradoCasertana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Messina have 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Casertana have 3, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | Monopoli(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Catania(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Paganese(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Catanzaro(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 19, 2016 | Foggia(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | Reggiana(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Vibonese(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Lecce(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Messina score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; Casertana score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messina | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/10 | 5/10 |
| Casertana | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy