AZ Picerno vs Casertana: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
The Footlab model makes AZ Picerno the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Casertana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Casertana?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate AZ Picerno (1,799) and Casertana (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Picerno have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Casertana have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sorrento(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barletta(home) | 3-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AZ Picerno win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Casertana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Casertana 2-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2025 | AZ Picerno 0-2 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Casertana 0-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 7, 2024 | AZ Picerno 0-0 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Casertana 2-1 AZ Picerno | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 8, 2023 | AZ Picerno 0-0 Casertana | Serie C - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Casertana vs AZ Picerno on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Picerno score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Casertana score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Picerno | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Casertana | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Picerno sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Casertana sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AZ Picerno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Casertana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AZ Picerno vs Casertana?
- The Footlab model makes AZ Picerno the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Casertana.
- Where and when is AZ Picerno vs Casertana played?
- AZ Picerno vs Casertana is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.