Messina vs CastrumFavara: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 9Kick-off on October 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
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What was the result of Messina vs CastrumFavara?
Messina won 2-1 on October 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 42′575405Messina
- 50′621500CastrumFavara
- 87′614184Messina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Messina have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; CastrumFavara have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sambiase(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Reggina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Enna(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Paternò(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Acireale(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Sancataldese(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Ragusa(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Savoia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gelbison(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Messina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CastrumFavara score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Messina sit 16th in Serie D - Girone I (32 points from 34 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 11th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | CastrumFavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 47 | 38 |
| 16 | Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy