Siracusa vs CastrumFavara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola de Simone, Siracusa
The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for CastrumFavara. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siracusa vs CastrumFavara?
Siracusa starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,661).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Siracusa vs CastrumFavara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Siracusa
Not enough data to predict the Siracusa lineup.
CastrumFavara
Not enough data to predict the CastrumFavara lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siracusa have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CastrumFavara have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Licata(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Modica(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Trapani 1905(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Igea Virtus(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcio Avola(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modica(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Siracusa win, 1 draw, 0 CastrumFavara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Siracusa 3-1 CastrumFavara | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 10, 2024 | CastrumFavara 1-1 Siracusa | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Siracusa vs CastrumFavara on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Siracusa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CastrumFavara score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siracusa | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| CastrumFavara | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siracusa sit 12th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 7 matches) and CastrumFavara sit 13th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Siracusa vs CastrumFavara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siracusa vs CastrumFavara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Siracusa the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for CastrumFavara.
- Where and when is Siracusa vs CastrumFavara played?
- Siracusa vs CastrumFavara is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola de Simone, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.