Messina vs Paganese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 20Kick-off on December 22, 2021 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
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What was the result of Messina vs Paganese?
Messina won 2-1 on December 22, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 38′A. MărgineanMessina
- 88′C. CretellaPaganese
- 90′Gian Marco DistefanoMessina
Official lineup for Messina vs Paganese
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Messina
- 9A. Adorante
- 11I. Baldé
- 6L. Fofana
- 8L. Simonetti
- 10F. Damian
- 24A. Mărginean
- 5N. Fantoni
- 13L. Carillo
- 18M. Čelić
- 21G. Rondinella
- 1Antonino Fusco
Paganese
- 9F. Piovaccari
- 8M. Firenze
- 15Fernando Damián Tissone Rodrigues
- 24C. Cretella
- 26G. Guadagni
- 3E. Bianchi
- 14G. Viti
- 23M. Schiavino
- 4E. Sbampato
- 25E. Scanagatta
- 1Paolo Baiocco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Messina have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Paganese have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | Catania(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Turris(away) | 0-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Taranto(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Latina(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 11, 2021 | AZ Picerno(away) | 3-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 27, 2021 | SS Monopoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Palermo(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Messina wins, 1 draw, 2 Paganese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2021 | Paganese 4-4 Messina | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Paganese 2-0 Messina | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Messina 0-2 Paganese | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Messina score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messina | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Paganese | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Messina vs Paganese?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy