Messina vs Paganese: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 20Kick-off on December 22, 2021 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
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What was the result of Messina vs Paganese?
Messina won 2-1 on December 22, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 38′A. MărgineanMessina
- 88′C. CretellaPaganese
- 90′Gian Marco DistefanoMessina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Messina have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Paganese have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | Catania(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Turris(away) | 0-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Taranto(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Latina(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 11, 2021 | AZ Picerno(away) | 3-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 27, 2021 | SS Monopoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Palermo(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Messina win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Paganese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2021 | Paganese 4-4 Messina | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Paganese 2-0 Messina | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Messina 0-2 Paganese | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Messina score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paganese score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messina | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Paganese | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy