Match

Mestre vs Conegliano: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Francesco Baracca, Mestre

MestreConegliano

The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Conegliano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mestre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,603 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mestre vs Conegliano?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Mestre (1,737) and Conegliano (1,735).

38%30%32%
Mestre winDrawConegliano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mestre vs Conegliano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mestre

Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.

Conegliano

Not enough data to predict the Conegliano lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mestre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Conegliano have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mestre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Conegliano(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Oct 7, 2026Schio(home)0-2Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Campodarsego(home)1-1Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026FC Obermais(away)2-2Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Altavilla(home)3-2Serie D - Girone C
Conegliano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Mestre(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Este(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026LME(home)0-1Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026FC Obermais(home)1-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 16, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(away)1-0Serie D - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Mestre win, 1 draw, 1 Conegliano win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Conegliano 2-1 MestreSerie D - Girone C
Jan 18, 2026Conegliano 1-1 MestreSerie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2025Mestre 1-0 ConeglianoSerie D - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Conegliano vs Mestre on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Conegliano score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mestre1.01.348/155/15
Conegliano0.91.056/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mestre sit 8th in Serie D - Girone C (10 points from 7 matches) and Conegliano sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mestre724110810
10Conegliano73135810

A question about Mestre vs Conegliano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mestre vs Conegliano?
The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Conegliano.
Where and when is Mestre vs Conegliano played?
Mestre vs Conegliano is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Francesco Baracca, in the Serie D - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mestre and Conegliano

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