Este vs Luparense: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Este
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Este. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luparense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Este vs Luparense?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Este (1,672) and Luparense (1,746).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Este vs Luparense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Este
Not enough data to predict the Este lineup.
Luparense
Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Este have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Luparense have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Luparense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Conegliano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sandona(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Este(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Brian Lignano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Schio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Este win, 2 draws, 3 Luparense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Luparense 1-0 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Este 2-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Luparense 1-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Luparense 2-0 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Este 1-1 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Luparense 2-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Este score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luparense score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Este | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Luparense | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Este sit 10th in Serie D - Girone C (7 points from 6 matches) and Luparense sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Luparense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Este | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Este vs Luparense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Este vs Luparense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Este.
- Where and when is Este vs Luparense played?
- Este vs Luparense is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.