Este vs Luparense: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Este
The Footlab model makes Este the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Luparense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Este vs Luparense?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Este (1,762) and Luparense (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Este have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luparense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 17, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| May 3, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Treviso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Este(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vigasio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Este win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Luparense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Este 2-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Luparense 1-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Luparense 2-0 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Este 1-1 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Luparense 2-1 Este | Serie D - Girone C |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Este 0-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Este score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luparense score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Este | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Luparense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Este sit 5th in Serie D - Girone C (55 points from 34 matches) and Luparense sit 13th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Este | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 55 |
| 13 | Luparense | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Este vs Luparense?
- The Footlab model makes Este the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Luparense.
- Where and when is Este vs Luparense played?
- Este vs Luparense is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.