Metalac GM vs Dinamo Jug: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac
The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Dinamo Jug. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalac GM vs Dinamo Jug?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Metalac GM (1,597) and Dinamo Jug (1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalac GM have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dinamo Jug have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Kabel Novi Sad(away) | 4-2 | Prva Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 11, 2026 | Tekstilac Odžaci(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 7, 2026 | Stepojevac Vaga(home) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Metalac GM score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Jug score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalac GM | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Dinamo Jug | 1.2 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Metalac GM | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalac GM vs Dinamo Jug?
- The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Dinamo Jug.
- Where and when is Metalac GM vs Dinamo Jug played?
- Metalac GM vs Dinamo Jug is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Metalac, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.