Metalac GM vs Javor: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac
The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Javor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalac GM vs Javor?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Metalac GM (1,597) and Javor (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalac GM have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Javor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(away) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teleoptik(home) | 5-1 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Metalac GM win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Javor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Javor 0-0 Metalac GM | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2021 | Metalac GM 1-2 Javor | Super Liga |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Javor 1-3 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| May 1, 2019 | Metalac GM 1-1 Javor | Prva Liga |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Metalac GM 4-1 Javor | Prva Liga |
| Aug 10, 2018 | Javor 1-1 Metalac GM | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Metalac GM score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Javor score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalac GM | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Javor | 1.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalac GM sit 14th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Javor sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Javor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 14 | Metalac GM | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalac GM vs Javor?
- The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Javor.
- Where and when is Metalac GM vs Javor played?
- Metalac GM vs Javor is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Metalac, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.