Naftagas vs FK Vozdovac: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Naftagas, Elemir
The Footlab model makes Naftagas the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for FK Vozdovac. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naftagas vs FK Vozdovac?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Naftagas (1,607) and FK Vozdovac (1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftagas have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; FK Vozdovac have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftagas score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FK Vozdovac score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftagas | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| FK Vozdovac | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naftagas sit 12th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and FK Vozdovac sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Naftagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | FK Vozdovac | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naftagas vs FK Vozdovac?
- The Footlab model makes Naftagas the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for FK Vozdovac.
- Where and when is Naftagas vs FK Vozdovac played?
- Naftagas vs FK Vozdovac is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Naftagas, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.