Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metalist, Kharkiv
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (1,852) and Polessya (1,947).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Polessya have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Polessya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya 3-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Polessya 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 3-3 Polessya | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Polessya 2-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2021 | Polessya 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Polessya vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th in Premier League (3 points from 3 matches) and Polessya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
- Where and when is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya played?
- Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polessya is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metalist, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.