Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Lviv, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
Shakhtar Donetsk starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,095 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shakhtar Donetsk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Shakhtar Donetsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 5-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Shakhtar Donetsk on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shakhtar Donetsk sit 2nd in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi?
- The Footlab model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
- Where and when is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi played?
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is played on February 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Lviv, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.