Metalurgistul Cugir vs CIL Blaj: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena Cugir, Cugir
The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for CIL Blaj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurgistul Cugir vs CIL Blaj?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452) and CIL Blaj (1,412).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurgistul Cugir have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; CIL Blaj have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(away) | 4-3 | Cupa României |
| May 8, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 CIL Blaj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 3-1 CIL Blaj | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | CIL Blaj 1-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 23, 2025 | CIL Blaj 1-4 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 2-3 CIL Blaj | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | CIL Blaj 2-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-0 CIL Blaj | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs CIL Blaj on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; CIL Blaj score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| CIL Blaj | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 7 (40 points from 22 matches) and CIL Blaj sit 4th (34 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
| 4 | CIL Blaj | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurgistul Cugir vs CIL Blaj?
- The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for CIL Blaj.
- Where and when is Metalurgistul Cugir vs CIL Blaj played?
- Metalurgistul Cugir vs CIL Blaj is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Cugir, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.