Nera Bogodinţi vs Universitatea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nera Bogodinţi the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Universitatea Alba Iulia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nera Bogodinţi vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Nera Bogodinţi (1,372) and Universitatea Alba Iulia (1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Nera Bogodinţi have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Universitatea Alba Iulia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Gloria al Oraşului Geoag(away) | 0-13 | Cupa României |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Turceni(home) | 0-4 | Cupa României |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 3-4 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Nera Bogodinţi score 0.0 and concede 8.5 goals per match over their last 2; Universitatea Alba Iulia score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nera Bogodinţi | 0.0 | 8.5 | 0 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nera Bogodinţi vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Nera Bogodinţi the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Universitatea Alba Iulia.
- Where and when is Nera Bogodinţi vs Universitatea Alba Iulia played?
- Nera Bogodinţi vs Universitatea Alba Iulia is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.