Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Arena Cugir, Cugir
The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Metalurgistul Cugir. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia?
Unirea Alba Iulia starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurgistul Cugir have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Unirea Alba Iulia have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(away) | 4-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Unirea Alba Iulia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Metalurgistul Cugir 0-4 Unirea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Unirea Alba Iulia 1-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia 1-1 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Metalurgistul Cugir 0-2 Unirea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 11, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia 2-2 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 9 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Metalurgistul Cugir 1-2 Unirea Alba Iulia | Liga III - Serie 9 |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unirea Alba Iulia score 1.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Unirea Alba Iulia | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 7 (40 points from 22 matches) and Unirea Alba Iulia sit 1st (56 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 71 | 12 | 56 |
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Metalurgistul Cugir.
- Where and when is Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia played?
- Metalurgistul Cugir vs Unirea Alba Iulia is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Cugir, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.