Timişul Şag vs Progresul Pecica: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Timișul Șag, Șag
The Footlab model makes Timişul Şag the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Progresul Pecica. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Timişul Şag vs Progresul Pecica?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Timişul Şag (1,434) and Progresul Pecica (1,438).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Timişul Şag have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Progresul Pecica have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 9, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Uta Arad(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(away) | 2-6 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Timişul Şag win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Progresul Pecica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Timişul Şag 1-0 Progresul Pecica | Cupa României |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Progresul Pecica 0-2 Timişul Şag | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Progresul Pecica 5-0 Timişul Şag | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Timişul Şag 0-3 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Timişul Şag 1-2 Progresul Pecica | Liga III - Serie 9 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Progresul Pecica 0-1 Timişul Şag | Liga III - Serie 9 |
Last archived meeting: Timişul Şag vs Progresul Pecica on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Timişul Şag score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Pecica score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timişul Şag | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Progresul Pecica | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Timişul Şag sit 6th in Liga III - Serie 7 (34 points from 6 matches) and Progresul Pecica sit 3rd (38 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Pecica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 38 |
| 6 | Timişul Şag | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Timişul Şag vs Progresul Pecica?
- The Footlab model makes Timişul Şag the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Progresul Pecica.
- Where and when is Timişul Şag vs Progresul Pecica played?
- Timişul Şag vs Progresul Pecica is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Timișul Șag, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.