Metz vs Laval: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 3Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
The Footlab model makes Metz the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Laval. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metz vs Laval?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Metz (1,836) and Laval (1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metz have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Laval have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rodez(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Granville(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Concarneau(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Metz win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Laval win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Laval 2-3 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Metz 1-1 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Metz 1-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Laval 3-3 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 2, 2016 | Metz 1-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2015 | Laval 0-1 Metz | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Metz score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Laval score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Laval | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metz sit 6th in Ligue 2 (4 points from 2 matches) and Laval sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metz vs Laval?
- The Footlab model makes Metz the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Laval.
- Where and when is Metz vs Laval played?
- Metz vs Laval is played on August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.