Clermont Foot vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gabriel-Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
The Footlab model makes Metz the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Clermont Foot. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Clermont Foot vs Metz?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Clermont Foot (1,779) and Metz (1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Clermont Foot have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Clermont Foot win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Metz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Metz 3-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Clermont Foot 1-1 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Metz 1-0 Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | Metz 1-1 Clermont Foot | Coupe de France |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Clermont Foot 0-1 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Metz 1-1 Clermont Foot | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Clermont Foot score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Metz | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Clermont Foot sit 16th in Ligue 2 (2 points from 3 matches) and Metz sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Metz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Clermont Foot vs Metz?
- The Footlab model makes Metz the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Clermont Foot.
- Where and when is Clermont Foot vs Metz played?
- Clermont Foot vs Metz is played on December 4, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gabriel-Montpied, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.