Mexico vs Canada: result 2-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupSemi-finalsKick-off on July 30, 2021 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Canada?
Mexico won 2-1 on July 30, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′O. PinedaMexico (pen.)
- 57′T. BuchananCanada
- 90′H. HerreraMexico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Canada have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2021 | Honduras(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 19, 2021 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Guatemala(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 4, 2021 | Nigeria(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2021 | Costa Rica(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 18, 2021 | USA(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Haiti(away) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 11, 2021 | Martinique(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Haiti(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Mexico win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Canada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2019 | Mexico 3-1 Canada | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Mar 30, 2016 | Mexico 2-0 Canada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Canada 0-3 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Canada score 3.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.7 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Canada | 3.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Canada sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 1 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy