MFK Bytča vs Pohronie: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión Bytča, Bytča
The Footlab model makes MFK Bytča the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pohronie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MFK Bytča vs Pohronie?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate MFK Bytča (1,623) and Pohronie (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MFK Bytča have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pohronie have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rosina(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pohronie(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter Bratislava(home) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Petržalka(away) | 0-4 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 0-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MFK Bytča(home) | 3-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Žilina II(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(away) | 3-3 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 MFK Bytča win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pohronie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pohronie 3-1 MFK Bytča | 2. liga |
Last archived meeting: Pohronie vs MFK Bytča on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MFK Bytča score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pohronie score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MFK Bytča | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Pohronie | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MFK Bytča sit 15th in 2. liga (3 points from 5 matches) and Pohronie sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pohronie | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MFK Bytča vs Pohronie?
- The Footlab model makes MFK Bytča the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Pohronie.
- Where and when is MFK Bytča vs Pohronie played?
- MFK Bytča vs Pohronie is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión Bytča, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.