Miami FC vs Charleston Battery: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Florida
The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Miami FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?
Charleston Battery starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,831 vs 1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miami FC have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Charleston Battery have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Charleston Battery(away) | 0-5 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartford Athletic(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 13, 2026 | San Antonio(away) | 1-2 | USL League One Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detroit City(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brooklyn(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Miami FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Charleston Battery win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Charleston Battery 5-0 Miami FC | USL Championship |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Charleston Battery 3-0 Miami FC | USL Championship |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Miami FC 1-0 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Charleston Battery 2-0 Miami FC | USL Championship |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Miami FC 1-2 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Charleston Battery 1-2 Miami FC | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Charleston Battery vs Miami FC on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Miami FC score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charleston Battery score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleston Battery | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miami FC sit 8th in USL Championship (17 points from 13 matches) and Charleston Battery sit 4th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 36 |
| 4 | Charleston Battery | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 39 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miami FC vs Charleston Battery?
- The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Miami FC.
- Where and when is Miami FC vs Charleston Battery played?
- Miami FC vs Charleston Battery is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots