Middlesbrough U21 vs Leicester City U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Heritage Park, Bishop Auckland, County Durham
The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Leicester City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Middlesbrough U21 vs Leicester City U21?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Middlesbrough U21 (1,816) and Leicester City U21 (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leicester City U21 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 10-0 | National League Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chelsea U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 2-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Plymouth U21(home) | 3-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(away) | 0-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(away) | 3-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Middlesbrough U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Leicester City U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | Leicester City U21 3-1 Middlesbrough U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Leicester City U21 1-3 Middlesbrough U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Leicester City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 on Sep 23, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester City U21 score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough U21 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Leicester City U21 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough U21 vs Leicester City U21?
- The Footlab model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Leicester City U21.
- Where and when is Middlesbrough U21 vs Leicester City U21 played?
- Middlesbrough U21 vs Leicester City U21 is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Heritage Park, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21