Match

Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Lancashire FA County Ground, Leyland, Lancashire

Burnley U21Middlesbrough U21

The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Burnley U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If Middlesbrough U21 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Middlesbrough U21 starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,646).

29%23%48%
Burnley U21 winDrawMiddlesbrough U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Burnley U21

4-3-3
  1. 11B. Pouri-Siewe
  2. 7Z. Johnson
  3. 10L. Castell
  1. 4T. Savage
  2. 6E. Clark
  3. 5E. Airoboma
  1. 2M. Stanley
  2. 5M. Campbell
  3. 3C. Scott
  4. 6G. Ilunga
  1. 1C. Edwards

Middlesbrough U21

4-3-3
  1. 10L. Campbell
  2. 7J. Carbon
  3. 5J. Dede
  1. 8L. McCabe
  2. 9C. Ibeh
  3. 6I. Greenup
  1. 3A. Okonola-Matthews
  2. 4E. Tika-Lemba
  3. 5James Wilson
  4. 11Tyler Smith
  1. 1O. Foster

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley U21 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Middlesbrough U21 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burnley U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Aston Villa U21(home)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 9, 2026Preston North End U21(home)2-2Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Derby County U21(home)4-1Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 14, 2026Nottingham Forest U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 8, 2026Fleetwood Town U21(away)2-1Premier League Cup
Middlesbrough U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Everton U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 30, 2026Juventus U21(home)1-0Premier League International Cup
Sep 23, 2026Genk U21(home)1-1Premier League International Cup
Sep 18, 2026Aston Villa U21(away)2-2Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 13, 2026Leeds United U21(home)4-4Premier League 2 Division One

How many goals should we expect?

Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burnley U211.61.619/159/15
Middlesbrough U212.51.339/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burnley U21 sit 23rd in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 5 matches) and Middlesbrough U21 sit 27th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
23Burnley U2151048103
27Middlesbrough U2150238122

A question about Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Middlesbrough U21 the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Burnley U21.
Where and when is Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 played?
Burnley U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Lancashire FA County Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Burnley U21 and Middlesbrough U21

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